Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 3.178950 3.359163 3.550236 3.768967 4.013772 4.280919 4.596716
2025-03-23 2.893120 3.133157 3.399840 3.721515 4.103836 4.550241 5.121218
2025-03-30 2.658633 2.933363 3.249829 3.647996 4.145884 4.763386 5.614848
2025-04-06 2.453180 2.746394 3.093989 3.546732 4.137954 4.911936 6.058394
2025-04-13 2.263805 2.562568 2.924650 3.409331 4.065047 4.963815 6.383698
2025-04-20 2.172246 2.490504 2.886286 3.433714 4.207446 5.332806 7.275364
2025-04-27 2.097668 2.433377 2.861001 3.471286 4.372083 5.765692 8.423046
2025-05-04 2.050292 2.406896 2.872472 3.559250 4.622226 6.388271 10.207499
2025-05-11 1.986605 2.354150 2.843554 3.585282 4.780477 6.897060 12.081855
2025-05-18 1.915298 2.286458 2.788444 3.566074 4.861845 7.288069 13.989481
2025-05-25 1.821637 2.183314 2.676632 3.450091 4.763420 7.303567 14.870404
2025-06-01 1.750321 2.107363 2.599097 3.380885 4.738080 7.468049 16.437511
2025-06-08 1.663999 2.011860 2.495290 3.274018 4.654887 7.542191 18.079389
2025-06-15 1.615211 1.966603 2.462394 3.279085 4.781861 8.153721 23.453795
2025-06-22 1.561689 1.912071 2.412478 3.251929 4.845202 8.649734 30.394741
2025-06-29 1.504325 1.849440 2.346794 3.192642 4.836783 8.964292 38.472253
2025-07-06 1.442062 1.777214 2.262800 3.095440 4.737513 8.991330 44.861414
2025-07-13 1.415065 1.754874 2.254052 3.128542 4.921056 9.990605 91.003952
2025-07-20 1.391700 1.736610 2.250311 3.170043 5.133128 11.262886 706.055380
2025-07-27 1.378223 1.732168 2.267880 3.252203 5.460725 13.345946 NaN
2025-08-03 1.354516 1.711180 2.257346 3.280273 5.664741 15.198068 NaN
2025-08-10 1.324716 1.679659 2.227723 3.268481 5.764097 16.692093 NaN
2025-08-17 1.281104 1.625540 2.158260 3.172681 5.619146 16.540802 NaN